Fl Gulf Co
W-L: (16-18) PR = 94.7272Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A NWCOL 96-60 1107 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 70-** 1111 H Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 94-95 1115 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 91-73 1119 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 77-62 1124 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 92-88 1125 A Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 78-63 1126 H Kennesaw St CUSA (20-14, 95.7) **-** 1203 H Florida Int CUSA (15-17, 95.2) 83-89 1207 H Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 76-81 1214 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 59-75 1220 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 80-** 1228 A FORTL 84-43 101 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 83-85 103 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 72-55 108 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 71-82 110 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 77-84 115 H Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 74-85 117 A We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) 90-72 122 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 62-83 123 H Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 71-86 129 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 72-64 131 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 68-49 205 H Ea Kentucky AS (11-21, 94.2) 74-76 207 H Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 65-81 211 A No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 90-81 214 A Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 78-76 218 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 86-84 221 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 75-71 226 H No Florida AS ( 7-26, 93.5) 70-76 228 H Stetson AS (12-21, 94.2) 63-78 304 A No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 69-58 306 A Lipscomb AS (19-13, 95.2) 77-53 307 H Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 63-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Illinois 70-** -43 -4 0.00
1111 H Georgia So 94-95 -1 -1 -0.50
1115 A Chattanooga 91-73 18 1 1.47
1119 A Samford 77-62 15 0 + 2.37
1124 A Oral Roberts 92-88 4 1 1.48
1125 A Rice 78-63 15 -1 + 2.50
1126 H Kennesaw St **-** -2 -1 -1.02
1203 H Florida Int 83-89 -6 0 -1.52
1207 H Florida Atl 76-81 -5 -1 -0.65
1214 H New Mexico 59-75 -16 -2 0.00
1220 H UCF 80-** -22 -3 0.00
101 H Ce Arkansas 83-85 -2 -1 -1.26
103 A No Alabama 72-55 17 1 1.13
108 H Austin Peay 71-82 -11 -1 -1.22
110 H Lipscomb 77-84 -7 0 -1.53
115 H Queens Univ 74-85 -11 -1 -1.32
117 A We Georgia 90-72 18 0 1.70
122 H Austin Peay 62-83 -21 -1 -1.22
123 H Lipscomb 71-86 -15 0 -1.53
129 A No Alabama 72-64 8 1 1.13
131 A Jacksonville 68-49 19 0 1.55
205 H Ea Kentucky 74-76 -2 1 - -2.55
207 H Bellarmine 65-81 -16 0 - -2.30
211 A No Florida 90-81 9 1 0.83
214 A Stetson 78-76 2 0 1.50
218 A Jacksonville 86-84 2 0 1.55
221 A Ce Arkansas 75-71 4 -1 + 2.76
226 H No Florida 70-76 -6 1 - -3.19
228 H Stetson 63-78 -15 1 - -2.52
304 A No Alabama 69-58 11 1 1.13
306 A Lipscomb 77-53 24 0 + 2.49
307 H Ce Arkansas 63-73 -10 -1 -1.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Ea Kentucky 74-76 -2 1 - -2.55 207 H Bellarmine 65-81 -16 0 - -2.30 226 H No Florida 70-76 -6 1 - -3.19 228 H Stetson 63-78 -15 1 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 A Samford 77-62 15 0 + 2.37 1125 A Rice 78-63 15 -1 + 2.50 221 A Ce Arkansas 75-71 4 -1 + 2.76 306 A Lipscomb 77-53 24 0 + 2.49 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 70-** -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.03 -0.64
3 H Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 94-95 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.03 -2.41
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 91-73 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 77-62 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.03 5.52
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 92-88 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.03 3.68
3 A Rice (13-18, 95.2) 78-63 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.03 5.79
3 H Kennesaw St (20-14, 95.7) **-** -4.18 3.29 -0.01 1.03 -2.16
3 H Florida Int (15-17, 95.2) 83-89 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.03 -2.42
3 H Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 76-81 -3.82 3.66 -0.01 1.03 -1.97
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 59-75 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.38
3 H UCF (21-12, 97.8) 80-** -2.10 5.37 -0.01 1.03 -1.09
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 83-85 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 72-55 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.03 2.95
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 71-82 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.27
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 77-84 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.03 -2.43
3 H Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 74-85 -4.48 3.00 -0.01 1.03 -2.32
3 A We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) 90-72 -5.49 1.99 0.01 1.03 4.13
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 62-83 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.27
3 H Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 71-86 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.03 -2.43
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 72-64 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.03 2.95
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 68-49 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.03 3.83
3 H Ea Kentucky (11-21, 94.2) 74-76 -5.71 1.77 -0.01 1.03 -2.95
3 H Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 65-81 -5.47 2.01 -0.01 1.03 -2.82
3 A No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 90-81 -6.36 1.12 0.01 1.03 2.33
3 A Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 78-76 -5.68 1.80 0.01 1.03 3.73
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 86-84 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.03 3.83
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 75-71 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.33
3 H No Florida ( 7-26, 93.5) 70-76 -6.36 1.12 -0.01 1.03 -3.28
3 H Stetson (12-21, 94.2) 63-78 -5.68 1.80 -0.01 1.03 -2.93
3 A No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 69-58 -6.06 1.42 0.01 1.03 2.95
3 A Lipscomb (19-13, 95.2) 77-53 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.03 5.76
3 H Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 63-73 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
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17.09
|
winning pts = 57.4264 losing points = -40.3397
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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